Dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate. Dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate Dollar for October

In 2017, experts on the dollar exchange rate make predictions based on data that has already been confirmed, but several experts can make opposite predictions using the same data. Financial experts spend a lot of time making forecasts, because... this is important for the country's economy.

Dollar exchange rate forecast for 2017 in Russia. Expert forecasts

What the USD exchange rate will be in the coming year matters not only for deputies and other politicians, because The unstable financial situation in the country primarily affects the common people. Prices begin to rise, but wages, on the contrary, decrease. Experts predicted what the dollar exchange rate will be in 2017. It is worth noting that the opinion regarding the American currency is not clear. So, we will find out in our article.

Optimistic forecast for 2017

The analytical alignment is based not only on the numbers that are present, but also on hope and expectations, for this reason the Russian may receive not entirely accurate monitoring. But analysts agreed that in 2017 the average price of one USD will be 65 Russian rubles. Experts also say that during the year there will be a fall in the value of the dollar, but it will not last long.

Basically, the dollar exchange rate will remain at the same level of approximately 60-70 rubles. Such monitoring was provided by academicians of RANEPA (Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration). Academics have found that import substitution is thriving in the country, so the Russian ruble has strengthened, and the country’s economy is recovering with confidence.

According to the government, the price of oil on the markets will rise to $95, which will cause the USD to cost no more than 40 rubles. Along with the fall of the dollar, domestic production should increase, which will cause GDP growth.

The crisis observed in 2008 was worldwide, and currently affects mainly only the territory of Russia. Manufacturers in the industrial sector have lost the opportunity to receive imported equipment necessary for production. If you remember what dollar jumps there were in 2016, you will notice that currently the USD is not growing very noticeably, but regularly.

Pessimistic dollar exchange rate forecast

Due to the fact that collapses regularly occur in the oil market, experts have concluded that the country’s economic situation may not change for the better. Politicians plan to develop exports, but there have been no official statements about strengthening the currency.

Sterina and Devyatov, economists at the commercial bank UralSib, made a statement saying that the cost of oil could fall to 33 USD, respectively, the cost of $ would rise to 80 against the Russian ruble. But they made an amendment that the process may turn out to be softer, because There are currently a large number of offers on the oil market.

Thus, the pessimistic forecast of experts says that in 2017 oil will cost no more than $35, and USD will be equal to approximately 85 rubles.

Real situation

What will the $ exchange rate be in reality? Will the sanctions, which have a strong impact on the economic state of the country, be lifted? The conflict associated with Ukraine still continues and therefore European countries have decided not to lift sanctions against Russia yet; perhaps in 2017 they will, on the contrary, be strengthened.

The country's position in the oil market

Former Minister of Finance of the Russian Federation, Alexey Kudrin expressed his opinion, based on which, the price per barrel of oil could fall to 25 USD; also, a little earlier, a similar forecast was made by the First Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank, Dmitry Tulin.

In the situation in which the country currently finds itself, the Central Bank made a preliminary monitoring - the price of oil in 2017 will be equal to $35, which forces us to lean towards a pessimistic forecast. But such monitoring is preliminary, and the exact result will become known in March.

Monitoring for a year

Dollar exchange rate forecast for January 2017

In the first month of 2017, the price of USD will be 66.33. The maximum price of the dollar in January will not rise above 66 rubles 33 kopecks and will not fall below 63 rubles 60 kopecks. Experts have found that the average cost of $ for January 2017 will be 65.20.

Monitoring for February 2017

In the first days of the month, the dollar price will stop at 64.6. The maximum price in February for USD will be 67 rubles 20 kopecks, and the minimum will be 64.70. The average USD exchange rate for February is 65.7 Russian rubles.

Prediction for March 2017

At the beginning of the month, the cost of $ will be 66.20. During the month, the price of USD will not rise above this figure, but will periodically decrease, and the minimum value will be 63.5. The average cost of the US dollar in March will be 65 rubles.

Monitoring for April 2017

In early April, the cost of USD will be 64 rubles 60 kopecks. Throughout the month, the price of American currency will rise, but not higher than 66 rubles 45 kopecks. And the minimum value of the dollar in April is 64.65. The average price for USD against the Russian ruble is 65.30.

Forecast for May 2017

In the initial numbers, the cost of $ will be 65.6. The maximum price during April is 65.85. The minimum cost will reach 64.4.

Prediction of the dollar exchange rate for June 2017

In the first days of the month, the cost of USD will be 64 rubles 20 kopecks. The price of the US dollar will not rise above this figure during June, but periodic declines will reach a minimum of 61.40. The average cost according to specialist monitoring will be 63.20.

Forecast for July 2017

At the beginning of the month, the price of USD will be 62 rubles 20 kopecks. During the month, the price will periodically rise and fall. The maximum will rise to 63.1 and drop to 61.40. The average price is 62 rubles 20 kopecks.

Monitoring for August 2017

In the first days of the month, the price of the currency will be 62.40. the maximum cost will be 65 rubles, and the minimum – 62 rubles 40 kopecks. The average cost is 63 rubles 40 kopecks.

Forecast for September 2017

Experts promise that the price of the American dollar in early September will be 64 rubles 40 kopecks. The maximum price of USD in September is 66.6, and the minimum price is 64.40. The average cost is 65.10.

Monitoring for October 2017

In the first days of the month, USD will cost 65 rubles 60 kopecks. The maximum price for a dollar in October will be 68 rubles 10 kopecks, and the minimum will be 65.40. The average value will be 66 rubles 70 kopecks.

Price prediction for November 2017

In the first days of the month, the cost of the dollar will be 67 Russian rubles and 30 kopecks. During the month, the price of the American dollar will not rise above this figure, but periodic declines will reach a minimum level of 64 rubles 90 kopecks. The average price for USD is 66 rubles 30 kopecks.

Monitoring for December 2017

At the beginning of the last month of the year, the price for USD will be 65 rubles 90 kopecks. During the month, the maximum price will be fixed at 68.6, and the minimum will be 65.98. The average cost of a currency is 66 rubles 90 kopecks.

So far, none of the experts dares to publish a categorical forecast of the dollar exchange rate for October 2017. The thing is that the current situation on the foreign exchange market today is quite unstable and does not provide a definite picture.

Divided in opinion, they do not give a definite forecast. Some experts believe that the dollar exchange rate, although it will rise slightly, will not reach a critical level.

You should expect a maximum of 60 rubles per unit of US currency in October. Other analysts are more categorical and offer a forecast with a more negative outcome.

In their opinion, the strengthening of the ruble will be only a temporary phenomenon, and the dollar will very soon, literally by the middle of the month, reach 62-64 rubles per unit.

The lion's share of uncertainty is brought to the market by a new wave of anti-Russian sanctions. will largely depend on how well the Russian economy survives this blow.

Factors influencing the dollar exchange rate in October

There are many factors that can be named, but all of them, unfortunately, will be negative for the ruble. So, let's return to the new sanctions imposed against Russia. The economy survived the first wave of bans more or less with dignity. However, the last trickle of foreign investment in the Russian economy may be blocked.

And then investment will literally be reduced to zero. Naturally, such an event cannot but affect the economy and the national currency exchange rate in a negative way.

In addition, experts are also concerned about the policy of the Central Bank of Russia, which continues to artificially lower rates in the second half of this year. Unfortunately, this does not have a positive effect on the value of the ruble.

Finally, the situation on the oil market, which at the very least, but helped the ruble “straighten out,” also does not inspire hope. Despite the fact that the OPEC agreement was extended until the end of March next year, the expected stabilization did not follow.

Moreover, the active development of shale oil fields in the United States has a negative impact on oil prices.

Thanks to this, the market is flooded with new supplies of raw materials, for which American mining companies have already managed to prepare, but the rest of the market is completely unprepared. If no positive events occur, we can expect that oil will once again lose its hard-earned positions.

One way or another, the US currency will be able to rise somewhat in October. According to preliminary forecasts, the dollar exchange rate may be:

At the beginning of the month, 57 rubles per unit.

By the end of October 60 rubles per unit.

The maximum value of the dollar is expected to be around 61 rubles.

Constantly monitors US Dollar to Russian Ruble exchange rate. Below is a report on changes in the US Dollar exchange rate during October 2017. You will find information such as US dollar value for every day in October 2017, the minimum, maximum and average value of the US Dollar. US Dollar Price is the market weighted average (for fiat currencies the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is given).

US Dollar exchange rate chart for October 2017

Below is US dollar exchange rate chart for every day for October 2017. Average price of US dollar calculated as a weighted average value of the US dollar on the market. For national currencies, the graph shows the exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation.

US Dollar exchange rate table in October 2017

US Dollar exchange rate table in October 2017 includes the US Dollar rate for each day and changes in the US Dollar rate. The change in currency value is calculated in absolute terms, that is change in the price of the US dollar in rubles, and in relative values, that is change in the value of the US dollar in percent.

Minimum, maximum and average exchange rates of the US Dollar in October 2017

The table shows minimum, maximum and average exchange rate of the US dollar in rubles in October 2017. For the minimum and maximum rates, the date on which this rate fell is indicated.

In October 2017 US dollar value in rubles varied in the range from 57.0861 RUB to 58.3151 RUB with an average value of 57.6861 RUB. At the same time, the minimum average daily price per US dollar was recorded on October 17 (57.0861 RUB), maximum value of the US Dollar in October 2017 dated October 10 and amounted to 58.3151 RUB. Hesitation US dollar exchange rate within a month 1.2290 RUB.

So far, none of the experts dares to publish a categorical forecast of the dollar exchange rate for October 2017. The thing is that the current situation on the foreign exchange market today is quite unstable and does not provide a definite picture.

Divided in opinion, they do not give a definite forecast. Some experts believe that the dollar exchange rate, although it will rise slightly, will not reach a critical level.

You should expect a maximum of 60 rubles per unit of US currency in October. Other analysts are more categorical and offer a forecast with a more negative outcome.

In their opinion, the strengthening of the ruble will be only a temporary phenomenon, and the dollar will very soon, literally by the middle of the month, reach 62-64 rubles per unit.

The lion's share of uncertainty is brought to the market by a new wave of anti-Russian sanctions. will largely depend on how well the Russian economy survives this blow.

Factors influencing the dollar exchange rate in October

There are many factors that can be named, but all of them, unfortunately, will be negative for the ruble. So, let's return to the new sanctions imposed against Russia. The economy survived the first wave of bans more or less with dignity. However, the last trickle of foreign investment in the Russian economy may be blocked.

And then investment will literally be reduced to zero. Naturally, such an event cannot but affect the economy and the national currency exchange rate in a negative way.

In addition, experts are also concerned about the policy of the Central Bank of Russia, which continues to artificially lower rates in the second half of this year. Unfortunately, this does not have a positive effect on the value of the ruble.

Finally, the situation on the oil market, which at the very least, but helped the ruble “straighten out,” also does not inspire hope. Despite the fact that the OPEC agreement was extended until the end of March next year, the expected stabilization did not follow.

Moreover, the active development of shale oil fields in the United States has a negative impact on oil prices.

Thanks to this, the market is flooded with new supplies of raw materials, for which American mining companies have already managed to prepare, but the rest of the market is completely unprepared. If no positive events occur, we can expect that oil will once again lose its hard-earned positions.

One way or another, the US currency will be able to rise somewhat in October. According to preliminary forecasts, the dollar exchange rate may be:

At the beginning of the month, 57 rubles per unit.

By the end of October 60 rubles per unit.

The maximum value of the dollar is expected to be around 61 rubles.

The American dollar, which consistently fell in price against the ruble throughout August and early September, began to grow again in the second ten days of the month. The maximum rate for the entire summer season was recorded on August 4, when the official rate was 60.75 rubles. By September 9, the dollar had lost almost four rubles in value, dropping to 57.00 rubles. However, the American currency did not go below this level, but on the contrary, began to grow smoothly. What will happen to the dollar in the second half of September and October 2017, what is the opinion of experts on this matter - the forecast for the US dollar to ruble exchange rate is presented below.

Dollar exchange rate forecast for the second half of September 2017

As analysts expect, in the near future we should expect continued growth in the exchange rate of the American dollar against the Russian ruble. One of the reasons for this is that the Russian economy, according to the Central Bank of Russia, in July showed its worst trade balance in more than 14 years! Our country's dollar incomes are falling, but expenses are rising. And the import-export ratio of 20.8 versus 24.7 billion dollars, respectively, is the worst since April 2003.

Yes, there is an influx of foreign currency in the form of private investment into the Russian economy, but this factor is quite fragile. If Western investment companies are prohibited from investing in Russian federal loan bonds due to further sanctions, this stream of money will instantly dry up.

The sentiment on the stock exchange also speaks about expectations of exchange rate growth.

Futures, that is, contracts deferred in time, for the dollar-ruble pair, are actively being bought by players, both individuals and organizations, and this indicates that both are waiting for the dollar to rise in Russia.

As for specific forecasts for the rest of September, analysts from the APECON agency offer the following forecast for the dollar exchange rate for the second half of September 2017 in Russia:

• already by September 20 the dollar may rise in price to 59.07 rubles,
• To September 25 the dollar exchange rate will fall to 58.17 rubles.
• course for September 30th – 57.17 rubles.

As we can see, so far experts believe that the strengthening of the dollar will be noticeable, but short-lived.

Dollar exchange rate forecast for October 2017

As for forecasts about what will happen to the dollar in October, the same APECON analysts are still predicting a final depreciation for the dollar at the end of the month. Opening the month with a value of approx. 57.17 rubles, the dollar by the end of October will fall in price to 56.38 rubles. Fluctuations during the month are possible in the range from 55.53 to 57.23 rubles.

As happens with most APECON forecasts, closer to the beginning of October, as well as as the month progresses, it will be adjusted, perhaps quite significantly.

Other experts, although they do not talk about likely exchange rates in a given month, generally expect the dollar/ruble exchange rate to return to the level of 60-61 rubles by the end of the year.

Dollar exchange rate forecast for October 2017 from September 30

The latest forecast by APECON experts, made by them at the very end of September, confirms their earlier conclusions about the fate of the dollar and ruble in October. The expected exchange rate at the beginning and end of the month has changed very little. Let's take a closer look at how, according to analysts, events on the currency exchange will develop in October:

• at the opening of the month, on Monday, October 2, the dollar exchange rate will be set on the 3rd day at 57.13 rubles(the difference with the older forecast above is 4 kopecks),
• at the end of the first week of the month, October 7, the dollar will cost 57.62 rubles,
• based on the results of the second week of October, on the 14th - 57.40 rubles,
• the third week will end with the dollar exchange rate on October 21 57.71 rubles,
• the fourth week of October will end with the dollar exchange rate on the 28th around 57.56 rubles,
• the month will close with the dollar exchange rate on November 1 at the level 56.53 rubles(difference from earlier forecast – 15 kopecks).

Thus, for now, analysts are not inclined to expect another sharp rise in the dollar exchange rate. The ruble will remain at a fairly stable level against the American currency with a tendency towards some strengthening - within a month the dollar may fall in price by about 60 kopecks.