Deflator index for the year of the Ministry of Economic Development. What is a deflator index and how to use it. What is meant by deflator coefficient?
Price index and deflator index are special economic indicators that allow you to predict what will happen real cost works, goods or services in the future.
What is a deflator index
The level of prices for food and essential goods is of interest to almost all residents of Russia. What will the price tags in stores be like in the new year? This question is asked by everyone, from young to old. In order to have at least some idea of the cost of goods, works, and services, officials use a special calculated coefficient.
The deflator index is the basis for determining the dynamics of price indicators in the future. That is, by applying the approved deflator index for 2020-2021 (Ministry of Economic Development) to the current price, it is easy to calculate the cost of a specific category of product or product in the planning period.
Why is this necessary? The calculated indicator is used not only for predicting prices. The deflator index also helps to assess the real level of income of the population. That is, to determine how many products, goods, and services a citizen with a certain income level can purchase.
By analyzing the price level and the solvency of the population, officials determine the directions of social policy. This is necessary to support socially vulnerable categories of citizens. In other words, officials define a set of measures that are aimed at financial support for low-income Russians below the poverty line.
Despite the importance of the calculated coefficients, their use has a significant drawback. When calculating future prices, the inflation rate is significantly underestimated. And this has a negative impact on determining the real level of income of the country's population.
Areas of application
Next, officials determine what prices will be in future periods. Having received the cost positions, the level of income of the population is assessed. Moreover, the analysis is carried out for each category of citizens separately. Calculations are carried out taking into account the needs of an adult working population, minor Russians and, of course, pensioners.
These indicators allow us to forecast the need for indexation of benefits, pension payments and other social supplements. All operations are carried out taking into account the deflator index - annual indexation of benefits at the expense of the Fund social insurance(usually carried out in January-February), indexation of pensions, increasing the value of pension points, increasing social compensation, additional payments and allowances.
Note that social politics is not the only area of application of coefficients. For example, the deflator index for 2020 in construction allows you to determine price indicators for building materials, services and work. But this is just the tip of the iceberg. Prices, for example, for finished housing ultimately depend on these calculations.
The deflator index for 2020 for estimates has a similar meaning. This coefficient allows you to predict the level of government procurement, determine the need and solvency Russian organizations in the planning period. For example, a company, when planning the purchase of goods, works, services, is obliged to take into account not only the completed volumes of financing and its needs, but also the dynamics of prices for necessary goods, works, services.
Let us note that none of the spheres of state activity can do without the use of deflator indices. Even tax system contains calculations based on the application of these coefficients.
Scenarios and calculations
The Ministry of Economic Development is obliged to calculate and approve deflator indices by 2021. Moreover, the values are determined for each reporting period separately, and the forecasting of coefficients is carried out by officials taking into account external and internal factors. Depending on how each factor will affect general state economy, several development options are determined.
In simple words, forecast indices-The Ministry of Economic Development approves deflators until 2021 according to scenarios. What is it for? Let's show it with an example.
It's no secret that in relation to Russian Federation a number of countries have introduced restrictive sanctions. The price level for raw materials (especially oil products) has negative dynamics. The level of customs duties and fees is growing. And officials, when determining deflator indices for 2020-2021, take these factors into account. They develop three scenarios at once:
- Basic, in which all external and internal factors will retain their current values. In simple words, sanctions will remain in place, oil prices will fluctuate around $40-50 per barrel, and customs duties will be frozen at the 2018-2020 level.
- A favorable forecast, in which a positive development trend is expected. For example, sanctions will be eased or completely lifted. Prices for petroleum products will increase, and customs duties on Russian goods will be reduced.
- Target scenario. This type of prognosis is the most unfavorable. Provides for the most negative impacts of external and internal factors on the Russian economy. For example, sanctions will be tightened, the price of oil will drop to critical levels, customs duties will be increased significantly, the level of inflation and unemployment within the country will increase.
Consequently, deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development are not only a coefficient for calculating price dynamics in the future, but also important indicator development of the Russian economy as a whole, taking into account the influence of external and internal factors.
How to count
The calculation of the indicator is the ratio of nominal values to current ones. Moreover, the resulting indicator is recalculated into percentages. Let's see how the deflator index is used for 2020 (the order of the Ministry of Economic Development determines the formula):
ID = nominal values / current (real) values × 100%.
For example, how is the GDP deflator index calculated:
ID GDP = nominal GDP / real GDP× 100%.
This indicator is general. It characterizes the dynamics of prices for all goods, works, services, both consumer and industrial purposes. Since GDP is the estimated value of everything produced in billing period. But the GDP deflator index indicates price dynamics in Russian economy generally.
Forecast values
In order to apply tax standards, the deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development for 2020 were approved in Order No. 684 dated October 21, 2019, and the limits on insurance premiums are indexed annually. The limit for switching to the simplified tax system should be indexed similarly, but officials froze it in order to support business.
For 2020, officials have already fixed the indicators in the forecast of social economic development Russian Federation for the period until 2024. Using the explanations from the letter of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated October 3, 2018 No. 28438-AT/D03i, we obtain the following deflator index for 2020 (Ministry of Economic Development):
- construction - 105.1;
- oil - 103.6;
- water supply and sanitation - 104.0;
- gas supply, electricity supply - 104.2;
- consumer price index - 103.8;
- agriculture - 103.3.
Note that these indicators are given for the basic scenario of economic development and are relevant while maintaining the current values of internal and external factors.
The deflator index is a calculated indicator that is used in the preparation of economic analysis and price forecasts for the medium term. We will tell you how the deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development are determined in 2020, and how they affect government procurement.
What is a deflator index
The concepts of deflator and price index are quite similar. Indicators determine the final cost of goods, works and services in different sectors of the economy. The deflator is used to compile economic forecasts, and is also used to convert current prices to basic constants.
The value of deflators is approved annually, and separately for each area economic activity. For example, the Order of the Ministry of Economic Development fixed the deflator index for 2020 back in 2017 (Order No. 579 of October 30, 2017). The measures are basic constants that apply over several periods into the future. The deflator is used to calculate fundamental macro economic indicators:
- gross domestic product (GDP);
- domestic national product (GNP);
- consumer price index;
- volume of the accumulation fund;
- the value of the dynamics of the physical volume of consumption;
- other.
This calculation coefficient is used to convert current economic indicators into constant prices.
Where to find out the current index value
In the Order of the Ministry of Economic Development, the deflator index for 2020-2021 is indicated by economic sector. The price index and deflator index are used in all areas of activity both by the entire state as a whole and by Russian organizations and entrepreneurs. For example, deflators are used by officials when approving tax regimes and norms. These indicators are enshrined in Order No. 595 of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated October 30, 2018. Deflators regulate taxation.
In addition to state tax policy, deflators are also used in procurement activities. For example, Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated June 22, 2016 No. D28i-1688 allows the use of a deflator index for 2020 for estimates when determining the initial maximum contract price (Article 22 of Law No. 44-FZ).
The state defense order was no exception. Forecast deflator indices The Ministry of Economic Development until 2020 was approved by Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated June 1, 2018 No. 276.
Direct calculation procedure
The methodology for calculating indices is enshrined in government regulations. The rules for calculating deflators are defined in Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 1234 of November 14, 2015. In essence, these are special regulations for the use of deflators in various areas of economic activity.
To determine the value of the deflators of the Ministry of Economic Development, the ratio of the nominal value of the indicator to its real (actual) value for the reporting period is taken into account. The result obtained is multiplied by 100%.
For example, the formula for the GDP deflator index is defined as follows:
nominal GDP / real GDP × 100%.
In essence, it represents the following arithmetic operations:
- The value expression of GDP volume in current prices is determined.
- The volume of GDP is calculated in prices of the base period.
- The ratio of current GDP to base GDP is calculated.
- The value is converted to a percentage by multiplying by 100%.
The calculated value of the deflator index reflects the real change in price indicators in the Russian economy. Direct calculation does not allow taking into account changes in production volumes and actual output sizes finished products, works, services.
Calculation of aggregate indices
Deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development are calculated until 2021 not only for direct method. Officials have provided a different way to determine the values. This method allows you to take into account the actual volumes of products produced with changes and dynamics in the structure of goods, works and services produced. The Paasche aggregate index is used for calculations.
The advantages of the aggregate index are undeniable. The Paasche method allows you to analyze the dynamics of price indicators. That is, to determine the rise in price of a specific product or commodity or the reduction in price of any work or service. The Paasche aggregate method allows you to determine the level of inflation and isolate inflation at economic analysis prices For example, if the calculated result of the Paasche index is 1 or 100%, this indicates an increase in the level of inflation in the country. A value less than 1 or 100% reflects a decrease in inflation, a slowdown in its rate.
Forecast values of the Ministry of Economic Development for the future
Experts plan economic development taking into account numerous external and internal factors. As a result, three action plans are developed at once. For example, in the event of negative developments, socio-economic policy will act according to a conservative plan. If circumstances do not change and key factors retain their current values, the base option will be accepted for execution. If the factors have a positive impact, then the target plan will be implemented. For each option, individual coefficient values are approved.
Basic version: deflator indices for 2020-2021 by economic sector:
Branch of the economy | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|
Mining | 106,5 | 106,0 | 106,2 |
Consumption of gas, steam, thermal energy | 107,1 | 106,7 | 106,7 |
Industry | 105,9 | 105,3 | 105,5 |
Manufacturing industries | 105,4 | 105,1 | 105,0 |
Agriculture | 104,2 | 103,9 | 103,8 |
Freight transport | 106,0 | 105,7 | 105,6 |
Turnover retail | 103,9 | 103,5 | 103,7 |
Paid services for the population | 106,2 | 105,6 | 105,7 |
Average annual inflation | 104,4 | 104,2 | 104,1 |
Deflator index for 2020 in construction | 105,9 | 105,2 | 104,9 |
These are not all indicators for areas of economic activity. Detailed information about the values for the short term and the actual deflator index 2020 is presented in the Forecast of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2018 and for the planning period 2020 and 2020.
Application of Ministry of Economic Development indices in procurement activities
State and municipal procurement must be implemented taking into account the provisions of Law 44-FZ. In accordance with Article 22 Federal Law“On the procurement system of the Russian Federation” provides for the determination of the initial maximum contract price taking into account the annual indicators of deflator indices.
This means that when determining the initial purchase price, it is necessary to take into account the dynamics of price indicators. The analysis is carried out specifically based on industry deflator indicators. And procurement specialists are required to analyze not only regional price positions, but also compare the obtained values with specific price offers.
Preliminary analysis and the use of deflators makes it possible to determine the initial purchase price at a realistic level. That is, without inflating the prices of purchased goods or without unreasonably understating them. Correct calculations exclude errors and claims on the part of controllers and the Federal Antimonopoly Service.
As for purchases under 223-FZ, deflators are used to adjust the initial contract price, provided that the cost of the purchased goods has increased. For example, due to inflation. The possibility of adjusting the contract price must be specified in the organization’s procurement regulations.
An adjustment to the NMCC is a change in the essential terms of the contract. Need to prepare additional agreement in a government contract. Otherwise, this is a violation of procurement laws.
Indices of the Ministry of Economic Development in procurement of construction works
Procurement of construction work is somewhat different from procurement of goods and services. For example, when determining the NMCC for construction, the customer must be guided by Part 9 of Art. 22 of Law No. 44-FZ and determine the price using the design and estimate method. Such provisions apply not only to construction, but also to reconstruction, modernization, and also major renovation(Letter of the Ministry of Finance No. 24-01-10/72553 dated November 3, 2017).
The design and estimate method should also be used when purchasing through a single supplier. Regardless of the procurement method, construction works, NMCC should be formed taking into account the provisions of Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 567 dated 10/02/2013.
Pricing in the urban planning industry is regulated Town Planning Code RF, namely Art. 8.3 Civil Code of the Russian Federation. Estimated rationing should be carried out yearly, taking into account the deflator indices of the base version.
An example of the definition of NMCC in construction
When determining the initial cost of a building construction contract kindergarten the customer is obliged:
- Prepare design and estimate documentation.
- Prepare an estimate of construction costs.
- Calculate price indicators of the estimate under the deflator index for 2020 of the Ministry of Economic Development for construction for the future (taking into account the duration of construction).
- Evaluate commercial offers and analyze current prices for regional market services.
- Prepare a forecast of the initial contract price taking into account the individual characteristics of the order. For example, it is necessary to take into account the remoteness of the construction site, the presence of a transport interchange, the availability of premises for storing equipment and building materials, supply utility networks, electricity for work, etc.
A detailed analysis, assessment and economic justification will allow you to correctly calculate the purchase price.
Indices in the state defense order
Procurement activities in the field of state defense procurement must be carried out taking into account the provisions of Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 276 dated June 1, 2018. The standard approves the rules for the use of deflator indices when determining the NMCC. It is necessary to use the provisions of Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 276 in your work both when purchasing from a single supplier, and when using other methods of procurement.
Forecast coefficients of the Ministry of Economic Development are used to determine target prices for service maintenance and equipment repair, production, development and manufacturing of defense products. Also, calculated values are used to determine prices for the disposal of state defense orders and for other goods, work and services included in the lists with regulated pricing.
The provisions of the State Defense Order do not apply to food purchases!
For example, a customer classified as part of the state defense order is required to purchase food products in accordance with the standards of 44-FZ. When determining the NMCC, an economic justification of cost indicators is carried out taking into account deflators. Consequently, the use of deflators of the Ministry of Economic Development when determining the NMCC according to 44-FZ is mandatory.
Among macroeconomic indicators, which help assess the state of production in the country and predict inflation growth, the deflator index for 2018 - 2020 occupies an important place. It is necessary for calculating taxes and helps determine how much money the Russian budget will receive next year.
Who calculates the indicator and how?
Macroeconomic indicators that are used for forecasts are calculated based on statistics from previous years. The deflator index for 2018 - 2020 was calculated by the Ministry of Economic Development together with Federal service statistics. To briefly outline the methodology, they compare real and nominal GDP indicators. The resulting value becomes the basis for calculating tax payments and fees, payments for patents and other budget costs and revenues.
An example of using ID in practice: to calculate the 2018 tax for organizations that pay fees under the UTII system, they use a formula of five multipliers. One of these multipliers is the deflation index. For 2018 it was 1.868, in 2019 it will be 1.915. It turns out that entrepreneurs, having received the same income, working with the same number of personnel, will pay taxes by 2.5% more (this is the difference between the values of two years).
Options for the development of the Russian economy
The deflator index for 2018, 2019, 2020 is calculated by the Ministry of Economic Development based on the prospects for the development of the country’s economy and the political situation. To achieve this, several options or economic scenarios are drawn up. All options are based on the assumption that the “war of sanctions” will continue, world economy will increase volumes by no less than 3.6% annually, the cost of oil will increase. Let's consider these scenarios.
Base
Implies that current conditions will continue. There will be no sharp rises or falls, the cost of a barrel of oil will be around 40 US dollars. In this option, it is assumed that exports of raw materials and goods will increase by a third. Retail sales domestically will increase, inflation will remain below 4.4%, and GDP will increase by more than 1.7%. This is a very restrained scenario that will allow the government to implement no more than half of the planned social projects.
Basic Plus
A more optimistic option, which implies an increase in oil prices to $48/barrel, will ensure an increase in the standard of living in the country. In this scenario, it is planned that domestic trade turnover will grow annually, exceeding 3.5%. The turnover of the service sector will increase, exceeding 2.8%. Inflation will be 4.3%. In such conditions, the government will fulfill its promises on existing social programs, will begin developing new ones.
Target
This is the option we should strive for. According to it, inflation should be below 3.9%, domestic retail turnover more than 5.3%, and in the service sector above 3.9%. If this scenario is implemented, the GDP will be 3%, and the share of exported goods will increase from 9% of the total (the rest is raw materials) to 50%.
Focusing on options economic growth(bad, ordinary and very good), the Ministry of Economic Development calculated deflators.
But what really?
For now, the ministry recommends optimistic ID values (103.4 for the current and future years, 103.2 - for 2020), experts from High school economies are sounding the alarm. The beginning of this year was marked by a sharp increase in the coefficient: from 103.4 to 109%. It turns out that the values calculated by the Ministry of Economic Development are far from reality.
Of course, with an increase in the global cost of oil, maintaining and increasing the volume of its exports, an optimistic option is possible. But switch to it in a year? Change the deflation coefficient, which changes on average by 0.2 - 0.4%, to 6%? It's kind of hard to believe. In addition, the political situation around the country remains ambiguous.
The beginning of 2019 will show how right the optimists are, when the economic results of 2018 will be summed up and amendments will be made to forecasts and coefficients.
What will happen to prices
Any index for something is needed not only by economists, but also ordinary people. Thus, the deflator index for 2018 - 2020 helps to navigate: whether there will be an increase in goods and services for the end consumer or not. Based on the realities of this year, we can say: Russian citizens should expect another rise in prices. This year it was about 6%, next year it is not yet clear.
Although the Russian Central Bank claims that inflation is slowing, economic situation is improving, another tax increase is coming. It has already been stated that future advance payments to the budget for those who work for UNDV will increase by another 2.5%. And this is almost all goods, including medicines and fuel. If taxes rise, prices will rise. Representatives of some business sectors have already voiced their position:
- in the automobile market, prices are expected to increase by 10 - 15%;
- tour operators predict an increase in the cost of tours by 15 - 20%;
- builders and real estate experts predict an increase in housing prices by 5 - 7%.
In addition, new increased rates VAT may not increase budget revenues, but may reduce them due to the withdrawal of part of the business into the shadows. So, despite the optimistic forecasts of the Ministry of Economic Development, the economic situation remains ambiguous.
The deflator index is a coefficient that reflects changes in consumer prices for goods, works and services when converting current values into constant prices. We tell you how to calculate the deflator, how to use it in government procurement and what the forecast deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development are until 2020.
What is meant by deflator coefficient?
Price index and deflator are identical concepts that are used by specialists to calculate the final cost of goods, work or services. A deflator is a value used to convert current economic indicators into constant prices.
This is a coefficient that is set annually and calculated for several periods in advance, serving as the basis for government forecasting of economic development in future periods. For example, the 2020-2020 deflator index was forecasted back in 2017. The deflator is necessary when calculating key macroeconomic indicators - gross domestic and national product(GDP and GNP), accumulation fund, consumer price index (CPI), dynamics of physical volume of consumption and many others.
Industry indices are calculated by specialists from the Ministry of Economic Development, taking into account the price level for goods, works and services recorded in the previous period. The coefficient is set annually and fixed by administrative documents of the ministry. Thus, the indicator for 2020 was determined by Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 579 dated October 30, 2017, and the official deflator index for 2020 by the Ministry of Economic Development Order has not yet been published, but is expected in the near future.
The procedure and methodology for calculating the coefficient is regulated regulations Government of the Russian Federation - the rules for calculating forecast values are specified in Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 1234 dated November 14, 2015, as well as in Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated June 1, 2018 No. 276, which establishes the regulations for the use of cost indices and deflators by type of economic activity (when implementing state defense orders).
To find out the deflator index, the calculation formula is the result of the ratio of the volume of nominal GDP and the volume of real GDP multiplied by 100.
In turn, the GDP deflator index (calculation formula) is the following mathematical calculation: the value of the GDP basket in current prices / the value of the GDP basket in base year prices × 100%.
Since the formula uses data on all goods, works and services produced in the country when calculating the coefficient, the calculated deflator value reflects the real dynamics of the price level in the economy. When calculating the index, price movements are also taken into account, taking into account changes in the country's production structure, actual volumes of production of industrial and industrial components in physical terms and other indicators recorded in the reporting period.
The Paasche aggregate index is calculated as follows:
By calculating the value of the Paasche price index, you can analyze changes in price indicators for goods, works and services during the reporting period. compared to base prices for similar product categories sold in the reporting period. Thus, the Paasche coefficient illustrates the degree of increase in price or, conversely, decrease in the cost of manufactured products.
Using the GDP deflator, calculated using the Paasche formula, you can also track the level of inflation. If the calculated value is more than 1 (or more than 100%, if the calculation is carried out as a percentage), then inflation in the country has increased, but if the calculated value is below 1 (or 100%), then the inflation rate has decreased.
Deflator in 2020 - forecast values
The Ministry of Economic Development has not yet officially published the deflator index for 2020-2021, but forecast values in various production areas have already been presented. At the same time, the indicated values of the coefficient for future periods will still be adjusted by specialists of the ministry, taking into account recent events economic changes and social reforms, such as pension (increasing the retirement age) and tax (increasing excise taxes on fuel).
Upcoming events will directly affect the deflator indices of the Ministry of Economic Development for 2020. But when developing a budget and planning procurement activities for the next year and planning periods, customer organizations can use the existing coefficient values calculated by the ministry’s specialists.
Let's present the calculated consumer price index, which characterizes the inflation rate, and deflator indices for 2020-2021 in the table.
Industries | 2018 | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Production, transmission and distribution of electricity, gas, steam and hot water | 109,0 | 107,1 | 106,7 | 106,7 |
Mining | 108,7 | 106,5 | 106,0 | 106,2 |
Manufacturing industries | 106,8 | 105,4 | 105,1 | 105,0 |
Industry | 107,6 | 105,9 | 105,3 | 105,5 |
Construction | 106,8 | 105,9 | 105,2 | 104,9 |
Agriculture | 105,3 | 104,2 | 103,9 | 103,8 |
Freight transport | 107,0 | 106,0 | 105,7 | 105,6 |
Investments in fixed assets (capital investments) | 106,9 | 105,5 | 105,! | 104,8 |
Retail turnover | 104,9 | 103,9 | 103,5 | 103,7 |
Paid services to the population | 106,9 | 106,2 | 105,6 | 105,7 |
Inflation (CPI) average annual | 104,7 | 104,4 | 104,2 | 104,1 |
The index for consumer goods is planned at 104.2. Retail electricity prices will be indexed to 109.1.
Also on the official website of the Ministry of Economic Development there are indices that will be used in 2020 for tax purposes:
- UTII - 1.915;
- simplified tax system - 1.581;
- Personal income tax - 1,729;
- property tax individuals — 1,518;
- patent - 1,518;
- trading fees — 1,317.
Thus, many industrial and manufacturing sectors are seeing a gradual decline in the ratio. Thus, after calculating the deflator index for 2020 (Ministry of Economic Development), construction and construction work will be calculated with a coefficient lower than in the current year, 2020.
Deflator in procurement under 44-FZ
When carrying out public procurement within the framework of Law 44-FZ, indices are used in the calculation and justification of the NMCC (Letter of the Ministry of Economic Development No. D28i-1688 dated June 22, 2016). The customer calculates the initial (maximum) price of the contract in accordance with the provisions of Art. 22 44-FZ.
When justifying the NMCC calculated using the market analysis method, it is necessary to use annual deflator coefficients, since, in accordance with Part 3 of Art. 22 44-FZ, information on the cost of goods, works, services must be analyzed taking into account price and commercial offers comparable to the base period.
When planning the procurement budget for 2020 and subsequent periods and justifying the NMCC, an industry deflator is used in accordance with the Forecast of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation until 2024. IN this document contains forecast index indicators by type of economic activity both for the next year and for the planning period 2020-2024.
Use of a deflator in procurement of construction works
Indices are also used by customers when determining the initial (maximum) price based on the design and estimate method (Part 9 of Article 22 44-FZ) when making purchases for construction, reconstruction, and major repairs (Letter of the Ministry of Finance No. 24-01-10/72553 dated 03.11.2017). The deflator index for 2020 for estimates is also indicated in the socio-economic forecast. Currently the coefficient is 105.0.
When concluding a construction contract with a single supplier, the contracting organization must also calculate the cost of the contract on the basis of Part 9 of Art. 22 44-ФЗ - using the design and estimate method.
Regardless of whether the customer enters into a contract with a single supplier or holds a tender, the NMCC (contract price) is calculated by the specialist responsible for procurement at the institution, taking into account Methodological recommendations, approved by Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 567 dated October 2, 2013.
Pricing and estimated standardization in the field of urban planning activities are regulated by the provisions of the Civil Code of the Russian Federation, namely Article 8.3. Deflator coefficients are used in the calculation estimated cost object by year of implementation (as part of the implementation of the federal investment project). The NMCC is determined in accordance with the calculated estimate of construction work (Article 22), while the calculation takes into account the base version of the index from the socio-economic forecast.
In the event that construction is carried out using funds federal budget provided within the framework of the federal targeted investment program, then when determining the NMCC it is recommended to set the size of the initial (maximum) price within the volume allocated by the main manager capital investments for the implementation of such an investment project (clause 6.3 of the Methodological Recommendations, approved by the RF Government No. 427 of May 18, 2009).
Moreover, if, based on the results of checking the reliability of determining the estimated cost of such objects, the estimate for the years of construction, calculated in the prices of the corresponding years using deflators, does not exceed the volume of allocated capital investments, then the NMCC for construction work is formed based on the specified estimated cost (clause 6.4 of the Methodological Recommendations ).
The deflator index for 2020 in construction should also be used when calculating costs design work(clause 1.7 Guidelines) for correct planning of future capital investments.
Deflator in procurement under 223-FZ
Deflators within the framework of 223-FZ can be used for the following purposes: if the value of the contract has been adjusted due to rising prices (inflation) in accordance with the forecast indicators of the coefficient, then this is the basis for changing the essential terms of the contract. At the same time, the customer organization is obliged to stipulate this possibility in its procurement regulations. You can see an example of such a procurement provision below.
Application of the deflator index in state defense orders
The index is also used when carrying out state defense orders. In the process of planning the budget for the state defense order for future periods, setting prices for products, as well as to calculate and justify the NMCC, industry deflator coefficients are used. Deflators in the state defense order in 2020 are standardized by Order of the Ministry of Economic Development No. 276 dated June 1, 2018.
The key aspects of using the index in the field of government defense procurement are:
- Determining the forecast price, the price of a government contract when purchasing under the state defense order from a single supplier.
- Formation of forecast prices and NMCC for the implementation of orders under the state defense order.
The application of the coefficient applies to the formation of forecast prices for the development, production, maintenance, repair and disposal of products supplied under the State Defense Order, as well as goods, works and services included in the lists of products with regulated pricing.
The provisions of regulatory documentation on state defense procurement do not apply to the purchase of food products. NMTsK for the corresponding government order should be determined in accordance with Art. 22 44-FZ. The priority method for calculating the initial (maximum) price is the market analysis method (Part 6, Article 22 44-FZ). Based on Part 3 of Art. 22, for calculating NMCC using comparable market prices the government customer needs to use a deflator to bring data on the prices of goods, works or services to the appropriate values.
Thus, the use of a deflator coefficient is mandatory when justifying the NMCC within the framework of the law 44-FZ.