Soros's predictions came true - the Ukrainian economy collapsed Soros's opinion is the only chance to survive for Russia Economy from the evil one
According to legendary American financier, oligarch and political activist George Soros, "Putin's regime will face bankruptcy" due to the need to pay off a significant part of its foreign currency debt and the negative impact of sanctions. However, financial markets do not notice this: Russian bonds are in good demand, despite the sanctions risks, and the ruble exchange rate clearly does not correspond to some pre-bankruptcy state. The price of insurance against sovereign default of the Russian Federation, expressed in the value of the so-called "credit default swaps", is at a relatively low level - about 130 basis points, that is, a level worse than that of Italy, and slightly better than that of Brazil, which is also does not fit with Soros's forecast.
In fairness, it should be noted that the American financier did not predict the exact date of the bankruptcy of Russia, indicating only the year - 2017. This means that he has another 24 days to implement this prediction. However, if you do not cling to the formalities, it is already possible to discuss the reasons why George Soros, known as "the man who broke the Bank of England", was unable to achieve success on his Russian front.
Soros's forecast about "the bankruptcy of Putin's regime in 2017", from which he supposedly can only be saved by the preventive destruction of the European Union with the help of a massive migration crisis, was made back in 2016 - and then he caused a great resonance in the Russian and foreign media. In a voluminous article published in the British newspaper The Guardian, the American oligarch tried to scare the venerable European public properly, and for this he needed to paint an apocalyptic picture of Russia on the verge of imminent economic catastrophe.
Then Soros suggested that respectable readers believe that if the Russian economy is torn to shreds, then "Putin is a more significant threat to the existence of Europe than IS *." The oligarch's statements that it is Putin who is behind the refugee crisis that swept the European Union are especially piquant, is given by the fact that it is Soros' organizations that are engaged in the massive illegal importation of Middle Eastern migrants into the EU countries.
Someone may be amazed at the insolence with which one of the authors of the "migrant crisis" tries to blame all the problems on Moscow and tries to make Europeans believe that Middle Eastern migrants and terrorists who have flooded European cities are part of the Russian president's plan to bring down the European Union. before Russia has time to collapse. However, for the generation of Westerners raised by Hollywood with its archetypal insane villains who never have logical motivation, the arguments of the legendary financier and pseudophilanthropist might seem convincing. The bet on deceiving the public could well have played, but Soros was mistaken in assessing the prospects for Russia. And as many as three times. The first mistake, it can even be called a classic: George Soros joined a rather large club of iconic characters in European history who underestimated the Russian army.
In his analysis, he did not even see the scanty probability that Russia would not only not "get stuck" in Syria, but would also be able to successfully complete the defeat of Soros's Syrian allies in record time. As a result of the success of Russian military intervention, the Syrian crisis has turned for Moscow from a problem to a source of additional income. Without obvious victories in Syria, it would have been impossible to convince the OPEC countries that it is worth cooperating with the Kremlin even when the White House is strongly opposed. The thesis "The East respects strength" is banal, but this does not make it less accurate, and therefore it must be remembered that the main reason for the current rise in oil prices is not so much the result of diplomatic work (although it is also important), but the result of correct and effective the use of force in the Syrian conflict.
Soros's second mistake is that he underestimated the Russian economy and the management elite. His scenario was based on the assumption that the Russian government would commit several gross mistakes in monetary and budgetary policy. Moreover, Soros's scenario obviously stemmed from the fact that Russia could be isolated - or that it would isolate itself from the global financial market. That did not happen. Since the publication of the Soros forecast, Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves have grown, and the high demand of foreign investors for Russian bonds came as an unpleasant surprise for Western analysts. The Russian market turned out to be not isolated, but attractive, and not only for lovers of financial assets. Suffice it to mention the construction of a new Mercedes plant in the Moscow region and Volkswagen's desire to buy a stake in the GAZ concern to clearly show that European business believes in the prospects of the Russian economy and expects its growth, not collapse.
Soros's third mistake is the most important, and in it, like in a drop of water, the very essence of the collective West's misunderstanding of the mysterious Russian soul is reflected. George Soros writes: "The popularity of the president (Putin. - Ed.), Which remains high, is based on a social contract that requires the government to maintain financial stability and a slow but constant increase in living standards. Western sanctions and falling oil prices will force the government fail both ". Next comes the discussion of the inevitable crisis of the "Putin regime." An influential American financier made a mistake, which is more typical of a novice clerk: he did not read our social contract to the end, and if he did, he clearly did not understand anything.
The unspoken social contract that was actually concluded between the people of the Russian Federation and the president, of course, presupposes certain economic parameters, but they are not its main component.
The fundamental is the duty of the country's leadership to protect the national interests and dignity of Russia from external threats and encroachments, including from those forces, whose face is Mr. Soros. They say that history teaches that it does not teach anything, and the peoples repeat the old mistakes over and over again. Vladimir Putin's rating hints that there is at least one exception to this rule - and over the past decades, Russian society has come to the conclusion that a people selling their dignity for jamon will inevitably be left without a jamon and without dignity.
In 1993, shortly after George Soros made his first billion, he said in all seriousness that he considered himself a god. His words are quoted by the British edition of The Independent: "It is something like a disease when you consider yourself some kind of god, the creator of everything. But now in this sense I feel comfortable, after I began to live on this basis."
Russian society has a favorite intellectual amusement - to argue about whether there is a certain special "Russian way" and, if there is one, what is its essence. The events of recent years suggest that the essence of the "special Russian way" is to break through the knee the pride of those who think they are gods, century after century.
The only chance to save our country from default is to contribute to the collapse of the European Union. This opinion was expressed in his article by the well-known financier and stock speculator George Soros. "The fact is that Putin's Russia and the EU are in a race against the clock: the question is which of them will collapse first," Soros wrote. In his opinion, the "denouement" of the confrontation should come already in 2017.
According to the billionaire, the need to pay foreign debts and the state budget deficit will lead Russia to default next year. Political upheavals caused by economic hardship may come earlier.
In principle, there are enough people in the West talking about the imminent collapse of our country even without Soros. Someone relies on sanctions, someone on the possibility of a "color" revolution in our country. It is the recipes that Soros offers that are interesting.
According to him, Russia is by no means an ally of Europe in the fight against the "Islamic State" *. It turns out that precisely because of the actions of our aviation to destroy terrorists, a stream of refugees poured into the Old World. And if earlier Europe was shaken only by economic turmoil, today it is faced simultaneously with five or six crises. And Russia allegedly also actively supports the parties of Eurosceptics.
And if the EU collapses, then Russia can receive "significant economic benefits." True, what these benefits are, Soros does not specify.
The most interesting thing is the timing. It turns out that Russia and the EU are bursting at the seams, they are left with only a year of existence in the same form. Although even pessimists, both in Russia and in Europe, believe that there are no objective reasons for a catastrophic scenario. Strictly speaking, even a hypothetical direct war between Russia and the EU countries will not lead to the collapse of either Russia or the European Union in a year. At least several years will pass. A million migrants a year for the European Union is a lot, but not fatal. Yes, and Russia still has great economic potential.
What then does Soros base his forecast on?
I have to almost agree with Soros, ”says Konstantin Sokolov, vice president of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems.
There is a war going on against Russia and Europe. This war is being fought in accordance with the so-called "Strategy 2006" or "the Bush Doctrine." We see its implementation in practice. This is the spread of chaos in countries, the formation of some amateur combat units, which, at the expense of the money of world bankers, fight with each other. The doctrine presupposes the waging of war by someone else's hands. This practice is now being transferred to the territory of Europe.
Why did they start a flow of migrants to the Old World? As you know, these are not the poorest people, not those who run away from hunger, war and devastation. They came at once, in a powerful stream. This is necessary to create a system of social chaos in Europe. The fact is that well-fed prosperous Europeans do not want to fight with anyone. But they create chaos to induce the Europeans to clash with Russia. And from our country in the Western media, the image of the enemy is drawn, invented by God knows what. In fact, pre-war propaganda is being conducted.
Naturally, such a blow, in the event of a collision with Russia, the European Union will not withstand, it will collapse. But it will be bad for us too. They want to destroy our country using the same technologies. The default that Soros predicts is clearly predictable. Precisely because it is manageable. The current economic crisis in Russia was deliberate, there were no prerequisites for it. That is, it was arranged by the world bankers, the International Monetary Fund, to which our Central Bank is actually subordinate. The Central Bank has made prohibitive interest rates on loans, effectively paralyzing our economy, driving it into a dead end. We joined the WTO, and all experts predicted the current situation. Our production facilities were suffocated.
Soros, as the mouthpiece of the global financial elite, clearly proclaims his goals. The process of the collapse of statehood will begin throughout Europe and Russia. This technology is used everywhere. And in the Middle East, where the collapse of all Arab states is taking place, so that weak formations can be easily taken under external control. The same technology is now being used in Europe. And everything is prepared for the application of the technology in Russia.
We are now seeing a partial "exposure" to the plan of the world's oligarchs. Soros is talking about this.
Are Russia and Europe really participating in the race against the clock?
It will be worse for everyone. The collapse of our country and the European Union will take place, in my opinion, at the same time. We are actively stimulating this process. The law on priority development territories came into force. In fact, Siberia and the Far East are beginning to live according to different laws. It turns out that Russia is already divided into parts in which different legislation is in force.
The economic crisis is getting worse. We can expect that there will soon be talks about donor regions and how individually they will live better. The collapse technology is known, the slogan of separation will be used. Confrontation will grow between the subjects of the Russian Federation.
I think that during 2016 and 2017, the situation in Russia and Europe will heat up very quickly. And therefore, it is now extremely difficult to predict a specific scenario. Surely, it will not do without provocations. And provocations are preparation of forces, big money. Most likely, we will face great trials, bloody clashes and an attempt on power. The entire control system can wobble. 2017 will be the peak of such events.
How do we protect ourselves from a negative scenario?
The fight goes into a power phase. That is, it is not the law, not the results of referendums that are in effect. There is only one way to save Russia. It is necessary to clear out the "fifth column", about which there is so much talk. It is impossible to change the negative scenario without real action in relation to the “fifth column”. The "fifth column" has penetrated into all government bodies, and it turns out that state institutions are destroying themselves.
Of course, it is complete nonsense that we must wait for the collapse of the European Union, - said Mikhail Alexandrov, a leading expert at the Center for Military-Political Research at MGIMO.
But Soros is right that default is possible here. The current government is pursuing a completely ugly and anti-national economic policy. The Central Bank actually robbed the people, cut their savings in half due to the depreciation of the ruble. We see a decline in economic growth, an increase in prices, there is simply not enough money in the economy. All of this leads us to a very bad situation. And our government is unable to use the levers of economic management. The ministers were brought up on the Western textbooks of supporters of market regulation. And in the West, no one from our government worked, no one has ever used the dogmas of the free market and is not using it. These recipes are needed for the "third world" to make it convenient for Western companies to plunder these countries.
Sergei Glazyev proposes reasonable measures. We need clear mechanisms to save the economy. Let's say introduce a tax on currency trading that will kill speculation. This tax can be refunded to companies that trade with other countries. Then speculation in currency will stop, the ruble will strengthen. And it will be possible to issue rubles to lend to Russian industry. We must stop the policy of clamping down on the money supply. The president needs to create a special working group to work out decisions, form a new government. Then we will be able to avoid default.
I do not know why the current government does not take obvious measures. Maybe through thoughtlessness. Or maybe they do it on purpose in order to provoke public discontent and provoke the "Maidan", to remove the president.
Why did Soros's article appear at all?
Soros wants to deceive us. They say, sit and wait until the European Union collapses, nothing needs to be done. And it is strange to read his reasoning that Russia sent migrants to Europe. How could Russia send them? Libya, Iraq, Syria were destroyed by the West, not by us. We have only recently launched a military operation in Syria, and migrants are coming to the EU from all over the world. Are they only from Syria? There are migrants from Africa, from Afghanistan, from Iraq, there are not so many Syrians.
Soros is trying to approve of our government, to paint a bright prospect for it. The EU will fall apart, you will survive. But if we do nothing with the economy, then we will face collapse. The market model should be abandoned as soon as possible. We need targeted emissions for the construction of factories. Instead, the government is playing financial games and we are constantly losing. When there was economic growth all over the world, this approach was justified. But as times of crisis come, the policy must be changed. And the government cannot do it.
Is the collapse of the European Union real at all?
It’s quite real. It has nothing to do with our economic situation. Whether the European Union collapses or does not collapse, we will have a crisis, because the economy is not properly dealt with. And the EU, yes, will disintegrate, it is already disintegrating. There are very serious contradictions between the countries, the level of integration turned out to be higher than the states were ready. Great Britain distances itself from the EU, under the threat of withdrawal from the union, bargains for special conditions. A number of countries do not want to admit migrants, Schengen is actually bursting at the seams. Over time, there will be new problems related to the financing of individual countries. The economic situation is deteriorating all over the world, the question will soon arise who will pay Greece, Spain, Eastern Europe. When the safety margin is exhausted, everyone will save themselves alone, that is, they will not participate in the economic projects of the European Union, do not follow its rules. In the end, the European Union will come to a complete collapse.
04/01/2018 / https: //alternathistory.livejournal.com/
In May 2015, the famous American billionaire George Soros said literally the following: "If there is a clash between China and a US military ally, such as Japan, it would not be an exaggeration to say that we will be on the verge of World War III."
Soon, Hans-Lothar Domröse, Commander-in-Chief of the NATO Joint Forces in Brunsum (Netherlands), expressed similar judgments. These statements coincide in meaning with the predictions of Western prophets made in the 1950s and 1970s and for 2016 and beyond.
Moreover, in the predictions of clairvoyants, as in the forecast of Soros, Russia is assigned the role of "China's flank ally" invading Europe. We mention these prophecies as a kind of paranormal artifact illustrating the inescapable fear of the West of the "unpredictable Russian bear."
In 1992, when Russia did not in any way resemble the present country that had "risen from its knees," many German publications published the apocalyptic prophecy of the soothsayer of Germany, Alois Irlmeier. The prediction of 1953, expressed by the clairvoyant to a neighbor girl, was later entered into his diary. In those days, Irlmeier's forecast caused a flurry of ironic remarks from the German public, for nothing in this forecast seemed real.
“My girl, in your lifetime you will go through a lot of shocks. At first, our country will prosper as never before. Then there will be a decline in faith in the Lord, and people will be mired in vices, and streams of refugees from the Balkans and Africa will rush to us. Our money will be depreciated, inflation will be high. A revolution and civil war would break out in Germany shortly thereafter, and then the Russians would suddenly invade Europe at night. ”
According to Irlmeier, tactical nuclear weapons will be used in Europe, which will sweep Prague off the ground. Only after that, the opposing sides - and by them we mean the "Yellow Dragon paired with the Red Bear", who oppose the "Eagle of the Atlantic" - heed the voice of reason. The third world war can be stopped literally on its doorstep. The atomic apocalypse will not follow.
If in 1992 Irlmeier's prediction did not gain national popularity, then in 2015, when it was posted on the Internet, it collected 200 thousand views in a couple of weeks.
Have modern Germans become more superstitious? No, rather, they are frightened by the already come true part of the prediction about "flows of refugees." And also the amazing parallels between Irlmeier's infernal visions and the "strategic analytics" that the North Atlantic Alliance fears in the Old World.
Veronica Luken gained fame in the United States as one of the most beautiful fortune tellers of all peoples and times. As for the accuracy of her prophecies, it was not possible to verify this: the majority was made in 1976-1978 and attributed to the clairvoyant in 2015-2020. It is interesting that when predicting the Third World War for these years, Veronica did not use the Aesopian language in the style of Nostradamus or the same Irlmeier.
“Three numbers: two eights and a nine,” is the only cryptic phrase that Luken never bothered to explain. Otherwise, Veronica, in her life an ordinary housewife, operated with the directions of the main blows, the number and names of military groups, like an experienced general.
Surprisingly, Lücken, like Irlmeier, had a premonition of the destruction of Prague after the use of tactical nuclear weapons. And again, "Russian troops" are invading Europe. True, this is not preceded by the revolution in Germany, but the revolt in the Vatican, the assassination of the Pope, the war in the Balkans. "Russian troops enter Belgrade, advance through Italy, go out in three columns to Germany, in the direction of the Rhine ..."
If you believe Veronica, then the events in Europe will be provoked by the conflict between Russia and the United States. This soothsayer predicts "the coming of the era of universal peace", but only after the nuclear apocalypse: "People will learn to live a spiritual life, will abandon smart machines consciously, and will seek joy in working with a plow."
American predictions are interesting for several reasons. First, she foresees America's future military conflict with Russia, living in the "era of detente." Second, Luken for the first time uses the now generally recognized term "climate weapon": in her visions, Russia is using it against the United States, provoking nightmare earthquakes.
Thirdly, let us remember the following dictum of the seer: “The third world war will begin when, after a series of protracted conflicts, all parties suddenly start talking about peace. When it will seem to everyone that the worst has already been avoided. "
Visions of the Evangelist We are especially interested in the visions of those whose predictions have already come true. And preferably more than once. This is true of the Congolese native, a member of the Norwegian "Holy Trinity Movement", preacher Emmanuel Minos. So, in 1954, Minos predicted the beginning of television broadcasting in Norway in 1968, and in 1937, as a boy, the heyday of Norway thanks to the reserves of the then unexplored oil fields.
As for the Third World War, the Norwegian evangelist attributed its beginning to 2016. True, if, for example, Veronica Luken saw the harbingers of a nuclear apocalypse "general talk about the world", as well as "a bright comet in the sky that will seem unexpected to all astronomers", Minos believed that the start of World War III would be "the aspiration of hundreds of thousands of black impoverished people fleeing hunger and wars to Europe. "
The evangelist made this prediction in 1968, when there was not even a hint of today's mass emigration to the Old World from Africa.
Now let's return to the American billionaire Soros and his predictions regarding the Third World War, made during a speech at the World Bank conference.
The most striking thing is that Soros's predictions, announced this spring, were known ... six years ago. In 2009, a mysterious prophet appeared on the Internet, claiming to be a time traveler, and calling himself Ardon Crepe.
Declaring that it arose in our time in order to warn earthlings from trouble, Crepe in 2009 predicted an armed conflict in Ukraine in 2014, and then - word for word with Soros - said that “the Chinese elite, who in the course of economic reform you will need to calm down your people in order to maintain power, they will unleash a war by attacking Japan and South Korea and thereby provoking the outbreak of the Third World War. "
In addition, Crepe, like Soros in 2015, called on Washington to "make concessions to China, which will take Russia as its allies," and allow the yuan to be included in the IMF's currency basket.
The coincidence of Crepe's predictions and Soros's forecast is such that many questions involuntarily arise. For example, was Soros himself hiding under the pseudonym Ardon Krep? Or, perhaps, the billionaire announced his prediction, having previously studied the mystical revelations of Crepe?
Let us also mention the apocalyptic predictions of the "Vienna prophet" Gottfried von Werdenberg, made by him during a television show in 1994 on central Austrian television.
Let's pay attention: then, 21 years ago, Gottfried predicted the revival of the new Russian Empire in 2017, saying that the foreshadowing would be "Russia's shutting off the gas tap to Europe and the not very successful attempt of the Old World to replace such supplies with Norwegian."
We must admit that all this was impossible to imagine in 1994. However, like a terrorist formation called ISIS, which von Werdenberg deduced then as a "quasi-Islamic state of I.", as well as UAVs (combat drones) in the sky of Ukraine.
From the predictions of von Werdenberg, attributed by him to 2016-2017, the coming to power in Moscow of the military will be the foreshadowing of the Third World War, and the Third World War itself, which will begin soon after that, will last two years, as a result of which the population of the Earth will be reduced to 600 million.
Terrible predictions, aren't they? One involuntarily recalls the famous painting by Salvador Dali "Premonition of the Civil War", although the forecasters are talking about the Third World War and, possibly, the last.
However, wait and see. I would like to return to the topic of these predictions in a few years and start with the words: “Now we have the best confirmation of the controversial Western statistics, which claims that over the past 200 years, for every hundred predictions, there was only one - partially! - true ... "
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According to the legendary American financier, oligarch and political activist George Soros, "Putin's regime will face bankruptcy" due to the need to pay off a significant part of its foreign currency debt and the negative impact of sanctions. However, financial markets do not notice this: Russian bonds are in good demand, despite the sanctions risks, and the ruble exchange rate clearly does not correspond to some pre-bankruptcy state. The price of insurance against sovereign default of the Russian Federation, expressed in the value of the so-called "credit default swaps", is at a relatively low level - about 130 basis points, that is, a level worse than that of Italy, and slightly better than that of Brazil, which is also does not fit with Soros's forecast.
In fairness, it should be noted that the American financier did not predict the exact date of the bankruptcy of Russia, indicating only the year - 2017. This means that he has another 24 days to implement this prediction. However, if you do not cling to the formalities, you can already discuss the reasons why George Soros, known as "the man who broke the Bank of England", was unable to achieve success on his Russian front.
Soros's forecast about "the bankruptcy of the Putin regime in 2017", from which he supposedly can only be saved by the preventive destruction of the European Union with the help of a massive migration crisis, was made back in 2016 - and then it caused a great resonance in the Russian and foreign media. In a voluminous article published in the British newspaper The Guardian, the American oligarch tried to properly scare the venerable European public, and for this he needed to paint an apocalyptic picture of Russia on the verge of imminent economic catastrophe.
"Putin is a more significant threat to the existence of Europe than IS *."
* Extremist and terrorist organization banned in Russia.
The oligarch's statements that it is Putin who is behind the refugee crisis that swept the European Union are especially piquant, is given by the fact that it is Soros' organizations that are engaged in the massive illegal importation of Middle Eastern migrants into the EU countries.
Someone may be amazed at the insolence with which one of the authors of the "migrant crisis" tries to blame all the problems on Moscow and tries to make Europeans believe that Middle Eastern migrants and terrorists who have flooded European cities are part of the Russian president's plan to bring down the European Union. before Russia has time to collapse. However, for the generation of Westerners raised by Hollywood with its archetypal insane villains who never have logical motivation, the arguments of the legendary financier and pseudophilanthropist might seem convincing. The bet on deceiving the public could well have played, but Soros was mistaken in assessing the prospects for Russia. And as many as three times. The first mistake, it can even be called a classic: George Soros joined a rather large club of iconic characters in European history who underestimated the Russian army.
Posters with portraits of financier George Soros, President of the European Council Donald Tusk and First Vice President of the European Commission Frans Timmermans during a protest in Warsaw
In his analysis, he did not even see the scanty probability that Russia would not only not "get stuck" in Syria, but would also be able to successfully complete the defeat of Soros's Syrian allies in record time. As a result of the success of Russian military intervention, the Syrian crisis has turned for Moscow from a problem to a source of additional income. Without obvious victories in Syria, it would have been impossible to convince the OPEC countries that it is worth cooperating with the Kremlin even when the White House is strongly opposed. The thesis "The East respects strength" is banal, but this does not make it less accurate, and therefore it must be remembered that the main reason for the current rise in oil prices is not so much the result of diplomatic work (although it is also important), how much is the result of the correct and effective use of force in the Syrian conflict.
Soros's second mistake is that he underestimated the Russian economy and the management elite. His scenario was based on the assumption that the Russian government would commit several gross mistakes in monetary and budgetary policy. Moreover, Soros's scenario obviously stemmed from the fact that Russia could be isolated - or that it would isolate itself from the global financial market. That did not happen. Since the publication of the Soros forecast, Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves have grown, and the high demand of foreign investors for Russian bonds came as an unpleasant surprise for Western analysts. The Russian market turned out to be not isolated, but attractive, and not only for lovers of financial assets. Suffice it to mention the construction of a new Mercedes plant in the Moscow region and to demonstrate clearly that European business believes in the prospects of the Russian economy and expects its growth, not collapse.
Soros's third mistake is the most important, and in it, like in a drop of water, the very essence of the collective West's misunderstanding of the mysterious Russian soul is reflected. George Soros writes:
"The popularity of the president ( Putin), which remains high, is based on a social contract that requires the authorities to maintain financial stability and a slow but constant increase in living standards. Western sanctions and falling oil prices will force the authorities to fail both points. "
Next comes the discussion of the inevitable crisis of the "Putin regime." An influential American financier made a mistake, which is more typical of a novice clerk: he did not read our social contract to the end, and if he did, he clearly did not understand anything.
The unspoken social contract that was actually concluded between the people of the Russian Federation and the president, of course, presupposes certain economic parameters, but they are not its main component.
The fundamental is the duty of the country's leadership to protect the national interests and dignity of Russia from external threats and encroachments, including from those forces, whose face is Mr. Soros. They say that history teaches that it does not teach anything, and the peoples repeat the old mistakes over and over again. Vladimir Putin's rating hints that there is at least one exception to this rule - and over the past decades, Russian society has come to the conclusion that a people selling their dignity for jamon will inevitably be left without a jamon and without dignity.
In 1993, shortly after George Soros made his first billion, he said in all seriousness that he considered himself a god. His words are quoted by the British edition of The Independent:
"It's kind of like a disease when you consider yourself to be some kind of god, the creator of everything. But now in this sense I feel comfortable, after I began to live on this basis."
Russian society has a favorite intellectual amusement - to argue about whether there is a certain special "Russian way" and, if there is one, what is its essence. The events of recent years suggest that the essence of the "special Russian way" is to break through the knee the pride of those who think they are gods, century after century.
Ivan Danilov
Ivan Danilov, author of the Crimson Alter blog
According to the legendary American financier, oligarch and political activist George Soros, "Putin's regime will face bankruptcy" due to the need to pay off a significant part of its foreign currency debt and the negative impact of sanctions. However, financial markets do not notice this: Russian bonds are in good demand, despite the sanctions risks, and the ruble exchange rate clearly does not correspond to some pre-bankruptcy state. The price of insurance against sovereign default of the Russian Federation, expressed in the value of the so-called "credit default swaps", is at a relatively low level - about 130 basis points, that is, a level worse than that of Italy, and slightly better than that of Brazil, which is also does not fit with Soros's forecast.
In fairness, it should be noted that the American financier did not predict the exact date of the bankruptcy of Russia, indicating only the year - 2017. This means that he has another 24 days to implement this prediction. However, if you do not cling to the formalities, it is already possible to discuss the reasons why George Soros, known as "the man who broke the Bank of England", was unable to achieve success on his Russian front.
Soros's forecast about "the bankruptcy of Putin's regime in 2017", from which he supposedly can only be saved by the preventive destruction of the European Union with the help of a massive migration crisis, was made back in 2016 - and then he caused a great resonance in the Russian and foreign media. In a voluminous article published in the British newspaper The Guardian, the American oligarch tried to properly scare the venerable European public, and for this he needed to paint an apocalyptic picture of Russia on the verge of imminent economic catastrophe.
Then Soros suggested that respectable readers believe that if the Russian economy is torn to shreds, then "Putin is a more significant threat to the existence of Europe than IS *." The oligarch's statements that it is Putin who is behind the refugee crisis that swept the European Union are especially piquant, is given by the fact that it is Soros' organizations that are engaged in the massive illegal importation of Middle Eastern migrants into the EU countries.
Soros believes that Russia's international reserves will last for two yearsDespite the reduction of the country's international reserves by 1.3 times, they are still sufficient to overcome the unfavorable economic situation, the American financier believes.Someone may be amazed at the insolence with which one of the authors of the "migrant crisis" tries to blame all the problems on Moscow and tries to make Europeans believe that Middle Eastern migrants and terrorists who have flooded European cities are part of the Russian president's plan to bring down the European Union. before Russia has time to collapse. However, for the generation of Westerners raised by Hollywood with its archetypal insane villains who never have logical motivation, the arguments of the legendary financier and pseudophilanthropist might seem convincing. The bet on deceiving the public could well have played, but Soros was mistaken in assessing the prospects for Russia. And as many as three times. The first mistake, it can even be called a classic: George Soros joined a rather large club of iconic characters in European history who underestimated the Russian army.
© AP Photo / Czarek Sokolowski
© AP Photo / Czarek Sokolowski
In his analysis, he did not even see the scanty probability that Russia would not only not "get stuck" in Syria, but would also be able to successfully complete the defeat of Soros's Syrian allies in record time. As a result of the success of Russian military intervention, the Syrian crisis has turned for Moscow from a problem to a source of additional income. Without obvious victories in Syria, it would have been impossible to convince the OPEC countries that it is worth cooperating with the Kremlin even when the White House is strongly opposed. The thesis "The East respects strength" is banal, but this does not make it less accurate, and therefore it must be remembered that the main reason for the current rise in oil prices is not so much the result of diplomatic work (although it is also important), as the result of correct and effective the use of force in the Syrian conflict.
Soros's second mistake is that he underestimated the Russian economy and the management elite. His scenario was based on the assumption that the Russian government would commit several gross mistakes in monetary and budgetary policy. Moreover, Soros's scenario obviously stemmed from the fact that Russia could be isolated - or that it would isolate itself from the global financial market. That did not happen. Since the publication of the Soros forecast, Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves have grown, and the high demand of foreign investors for Russian bonds came as an unpleasant surprise for Western analysts. The Russian market turned out to be not isolated, but attractive, and not only for lovers of financial assets. Suffice it to mention and to clearly show: European business believes in the prospects of the Russian economy and expects its growth, not collapse.
Soros's third mistake is the most important, and in it, like in a drop of water, the very essence of the collective West's misunderstanding of the mysterious Russian soul is reflected. George Soros writes: "The popularity of the president (Putin. - Ed.), Which remains high, is based on a social contract that requires the government to maintain financial stability and a slow but constant increase in living standards. Western sanctions and falling oil prices will force the government fail both ". Next comes the discussion of the inevitable crisis of the "Putin regime." An influential American financier made a mistake, which is more typical of a novice clerk: he did not read our social contract to the end, and if he did, he clearly did not understand anything.
The unspoken social contract that was actually concluded between the people of the Russian Federation and the president, of course, presupposes certain economic parameters, but they are not its main component.
The fundamental is the duty of the country's leadership to protect the national interests and dignity of Russia from external threats and encroachments, including from those forces, whose face is Mr. Soros. They say that history teaches that it does not teach anything, and the peoples repeat the old mistakes over and over again. Vladimir Putin's rating hints that there is at least one exception to this rule - and over the past decades, Russian society has come to the conclusion that a people selling their dignity for jamon will inevitably be left without a jamon and without dignity.
In 1993, shortly after George Soros made his first billion, he said in all seriousness that he considered himself a god. His words are quoted by the British edition of The Independent: "It is something like a disease when you consider yourself some kind of god, the creator of everything. But now in this sense I feel comfortable, after I began to live on this basis."
Russian society has a favorite intellectual amusement - to argue about whether there is a certain special "Russian way" and, if there is one, what is its essence. The events of recent years suggest that the essence of the "special Russian way" is to break through the knee the pride of those who think they are gods, century after century.
* Extremist and terrorist organization banned in Russia.